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This paper seeks to analyse the impact of government debt and other macroeconomic variables on the long term bond yield …-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique to estimate the determinants of the long-term bond yield. Our results show that the short …-term interest rate is the major determinant of the long term yield in both the short-run and long-run. Government debt and the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183999
We show that government spending does play a role in shaping the yield curve which has important consequences for the … importance of timing in the response of yields to government spending. We find that the yield curve responds positively but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887223
We study the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads across 10 EMU countries between Q1/1999 and Q1/2010. We apply … a semiparametric time-varying coefficient model to identify, to what extent an observed change in the yield spread is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135691
In the aftermath of the crisis, sovereign risk premium differentials have been increasingly widening. Although the perceived risk for core countries remains relatively low, financial markets seem to discriminate among peripheral economies requiring higher risk premia than what is justified by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979651
We construct a no-arbitrage term structure model with jumps in the entire state vector at deterministic times but of random magnitudes. Jump risk premia are allowed for. We show that the model implies a closed-form representation of yields as a time-inhomogeneous affine function of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005585
-term response of the Colombian long-term bond yield and other asset prices to shocks to the US long-term Treasury rate. We use daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046956
autocorrelation in bond risk premia and because unexpected bond return shocks increase the premium. Yield curve momentum is primarily … due to autocorrelation in yield changes rather than autocorrelation in bond carry and can largely be captured using a … single bond return or yield change factor. Because yield changes are partly induced by changes in the federal funds rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313838
yield components,we find that the UMP decreases the market component for all countries. It decreasesthe risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496467
implying time-varying impulse responses of yield components. With short-term rate expectations at or close to the lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222610
This paper analyzes the nominal yields of UK gilt-edged securities ("gilts") based on a Keynesian perspective, which holds that the short-term interest rate is the primary driver of the long-term interest rate. Quarterly data are used to model gilts' nominal yields. These models bring to light...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291941