Assessing the role of uncertainty shocks as a driver of business cycle fluctuations is challenging because spikes in uncertainty often coincide with news about economic fundamentals. To tackle this problem, we exploit daily data to identify uncertainty shocks that (i) impact the VXO volatility...

Housing prices are subject to boom and bust episodes with long-lasting deviation from fundamentals. By considering a present value housing price model under noisy information, I study the macroeconomic implications of movements in housing prices related (news) and not related (noise) to future...

Labor productivity is more procyclical in OECD countries with lower employment volatility. To capture this new stylized fact, we propose a business cycle model with employment adjustment costs, variable hours and labor effort. We show that, in our model with variable effort, greater labor market...

We analyze the impact of the shock to energy prices induced by the war in Ukraine on the financial performance of the major European firms listed in the Eurostoxx 600 index. We find that equity returns (CDS spread) decreased (increased) more substantially for firms characterized by high energy...

We analyze the impact of the shock to energy prices induced by the war in Ukraine on the financial performance of the major European firms listed in the Eurostoxx 600 index. We find that equity returns (CDS spread) decreased (increased) more substantially for firms characterized by high energy...

We compare different approaches to constructing financial condition indices (FCIs) for major emerging market economies (EMEs). We further test whether measures of web-search intensity for keywords related to financial tensions can complement the information content of traditional financial...

We study the implications of benchmark indexing for emerging economies by focusing on the inclusion of Chinese A-shares in the MSCI EM index. Making use of a rich dataset on fund allocations and flows between 2015 and 2020, we document an escalating weight of Chinese exposure in mutual funds and...