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Conventional wisdom suggests that financial liberalization can help countries insure against idiosyncratic risk. There … is little evidence, however, that countries have increased risk sharing despite recent widespread financial …, financial contracts are incomplete and enforceability of debt repayment is limited. Default risk of debt contracts constrains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153048
We investigate empirically how industrialized countries and U.S. states share consumption risk at horizons between one … and thirty years. U.S. federal states share about 50 percent of their permanent idiosyncratic risk through cross … share any of their permanent idiosyncratic risk. Our results suggest that purely transaction cost based theories cannot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319551
states to smooth consumption and share risk. With the objective of evaluating the economic performance of euro area countries … the Synthetic Control Method. In order to get some preliminary measures of risk sharing, we first compute bilateral … consumption correlations and Brandt-Cochrane-Santa Clara Indexes across euro area member states. We then decompose risk sharing in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950577
In dynamic equilibrium trade models, the common assumption that asset markets are complete implies that correlations of consumption across countries should be quite high. In contrast, measured consumption correlations tend to be rather low. While some suggest this implies that asset market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077155
International real business cycle models are not able to account for the high volatility of imports, exports, the trade balance and the terms of trade. By introducing exogenous exchange rate movements in addition to standard technological shocks, the model presented here comes much closer to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184124
This paper studies the role of differences in the patterns of production and international trade on the business cycle volatility of emerging and developed economies. We study a multi-sector small open economy in which firms produce and trade commodities and manufactures. We estimate the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911446
This article investigates the effects of the different exchange rate regimes on business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging countries. We use the Granger Causality test (VAR model) on panel data to examine the causal relationships. Our findings show the existence of a bidirectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373499
While the 2008-2009 fi nancial crisis originated in the United States, we witnessed steep declines in output, consumption and investment of similar magnitudes around the globe. This raises two questions. First, given the observed strong home bias in goods and fi nancial markets, what can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751195
The globalization of capital and product markets has many implications for economic welfare. Countries can specialize in the production of goods for which they have comparative advantages, and capital is allocated more efficiently. However, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474806
While the 2008-2009 financial crisis originated in the United States, we witnessed steep declines in output, consumption and investment of similar magnitudes around the globe. This raises two questions. First, given the observed strong home bias in goods and financial markets, what can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222107