The calculation of the capital charge for CVA risk, as required by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, is usually rather unstable due to the volatility of CDS spreads. Since credit derivatives on single names are not very liquid, the implied adjustments in capital charges could be...

Extracting information from daily CDS spreads, we propose a measure of correlated default risk, which we show is a meaningful predictor of bankruptcy clusters. Focusing on U.S. corporate bonds, we also find that our measure of correlated default risk is more pronounced and commands a higher...

Developing analytic techniques for potential future exposure (PFE) of a general type transaction and applying it to credit value adjustment (CVA) and wrong way risk (WWR). The solutions provide a transparent and computationally friendly analytic formulas and good quality analytic estimates of...

As stress testing becomes more and more widespread as a risk measurement tool of choice, new questions are formulated about its applications to portfolio management. One of the most important ones for fund managers is: ‘How do we analyze results of stress tests for benchmarked portfolios?' We...

A framework for measuring and managing the risk of embedded options in non-traded credit is developed. For typical bank clients there is no market information related to their ability to pay (bond or CDS spreads) available. In this case a bank has to rely solely on statistical data to judge the...

In this thesis I develop a model for describing the dynamic behavior of Credit Migration Matrices under a Point-in-time Rating Philosophy. Characteristics of the yearly Migration Matrices following a Point-in-Time Philosophy are presented. Through the introduction of the concept of Rating...

The estimate of the probability of default plays a central role for any financial entity that wants to have an overview of the risks of insolvency it may incur by having economic relations with counterparties. This study aims to analyze the calculation of such measure in the context of...