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This paper analyzes how the risks of nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury bonds vary with the presence of supply and demand shocks through the lens of a small-scale New Keynesian model with habit formation preferences, where investors become more risk averse following adverse economic shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403693
This paper exploits the term structures of treasury yields to extract information about macroeconomic dynamics during the effective lower bound period (ELB). I introduce a new no-arbitrage macro-finance affine model jointly representing stochastic inflation trend and volatilitywith a short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855010
We study the heterogeneous impact of jointly identified monetary policy and global risk shocks on corporate funding costs. We disentangle these two shocks in a structural Bayesian Vector Autoregression framework and investigate their respective effects on funding costs of heterogeneous firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481142
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I study a two-country version of the banking model with financial markets developed in Allen and Gale (2004). Similar to their model, two types of banks arise endogenously in an autarkic economy: some always remain solvent and others can default. When the financial markets are integrated, three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997497
We build a two-country heterogenous-agent non-Ricardian model featuring asset scarcity and financial frictions in international capital markets. Due to the non-Ricardian nature of our framework, a demand for liquidity emerges and the supply of bonds matters. We show that shocks affecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486455
Monetary policy shocks that convey new macroeconomic information are significant predictors of both the absolute and risk-adjusted returns from value investing. Positive Fed information shocks lead to higher subsequent value returns. Crashes in the returns of value investing are most likely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231644
There are several widely used benchmark models of the long-term interest rate in quantitative finance. However, these models have yet to incorporate Keynes's valuable insights about interest rate dynamics. The Keynesian approach to interest rate dynamics can be readily incorporated in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548206