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Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one … cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While Collin-Dufresne and Goldstein (2002) showed that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761277
Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897782
To assess the economic determinants of oil futures volatility, we firstly develop and estimate a multi-factor oil … futures pricing model with stochastic volatility that is able to disentangle long-term, medium-term and short-term variations … in commodity markets volatility. The volatility estimates reveal that in line with theory, the volatility factors are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848651
Relying on options written on the USO, an exchange traded fund tracking the daily price changes of the WTI light sweet crude oil, we extract variance and skew risk premiums in a model-free way. We further decompose these risk premiums into downside and upside conditional components and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966894
This paper reexamines the issue of unspanned stochastic volatility (USV) in bond markets and the puzzle of poor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218891
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052
The term structure of equity return volatility fluctuates across time. It affects the term structure of equity returns … through the volatility feedback effect and explains the cyclicality of equity return term structure. By analysing the dividend … strip futures, this paper finds that volatility feedback effects of dividend strips exist and decrease with the horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238985
In this analysis we are concerned with the issue of whether market forecasts of volatility, as expressed in the Black … comprising 5-minute returns, makes volatility the subject process of interest, to which innovations are introduced via a … volatility-of-volatility (kurtosis) process. Despite performing robustly in- and out-of-sample, an encompassing regression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254392
equity risk-neutral volatility. The spillover channel between risk-neutral volatilities arises mainly through the government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459960
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708