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This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778
are split into three components. The first component allows us to match the volatility term structure, the second … generates stochastic volatility, and the third one accommodates for stochastic skew. The model is parsimonious, yet flexible … enough to accommodate the behavior of both caps and swaptions well. For the joint estimation we use a comprehensive dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558358
function to maturity that satisfies the consistency condition, the European volatility smile is obtained. As an illustration of … the formalism, we show that when the underlying asset price changes at constant volatility (standard deviation), the … offer a parameterization of the volatility smile with a closed-form expression using pre-calculated tables. Comprehensive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914760
-dependent mean reversion and volatility-of-variance function, so as to be consistent with the observed variance swap curve and a pre … second moments of the integrated variance, and derive an approximation for the price of a volatility swap under the time … then apply a similar analysis to a time-dependent Heston stochastic volatility model, and we show to construct a time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116588
This paper shows that Singleton and Umantsev (2002)'s method for swaption pricing in affine models can be simplified and extended to other models. Two alternative methods for approximating the option exercise boundary are introduced: one based on the multivariate Taylor series expansion, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117595
We introduce a stochastic volatility model with self-exciting jump intensity to capture the change in pricing dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088630
We conduct an empirical analysis of the term structure in the volatility risk premium in the fixed income market by … returns that seem uncorrelated suggests that the term structure is affected by both jump risk and volatility risk. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008285
We infer conditional swap rate moments model independently from swaption cubes. Conditional volatility and skewness … skewness sometimes changing sign. Conditional skewness displays some relation to the level and volatility of swap rates but is … exhibit systematic variation across swap maturities and option expiries (conditional kurtosis less so), with conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008774
This paper tests the pricing accuracy and the hedging performance of the stochastic volatility with random jumps model … in markets extended to contain swap contracts whose payoffs depend on the realized higher moments of the state variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859616
The aim of this paper is to present the multi-factor swap market model with non-parametric local volatility functions … and stochastic volatility scaling factors. We provide a Dupire-like formula with which calibration can be carried out with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934727