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. We also conduct a study on the persistence of forecast accuracy across analysts and across stocks over the 15-year period … analyst forecast values and back-test a range of forecast-driven systematic strategies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842120
forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959862
Earnings expectation aggregates all available information. However, investors with limited attention are unlikely to behave in such rational fashions. For example, salient information is overweighed in the expectation. This bias could be exploited by sophisticated market participants like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897596
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
This study examines whether analysts in the extractive industries in Australia adjust their private information searching and processing in response to the complexity of information about a firm's exploration and evaluation (E&E) activities. We find that both the proportion of private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940325
I study security analysts' early forecasts. Forecasts with over one-year horizons constitute nearly one-half of all analysts' forecasts. I find that the demand for early forecasts is driven by long-term institutional investors and that analyst skills and resources are more important for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869682
Purpose: This study investigates the behavior of sell-side analysts covering firms that are about to experience breaks in strings of consecutive quarterly earnings increases.Design/methodology/approach: We estimate the likelihood of analysts predicting a break using logit regressions for 1.8M...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869685
of their earnings forecast accuracy. Various psychological factors, such as decision style and personality traits, are … factors related to forecast accuracy, we document that controlling for these unidentifiable analyst-specific effects improves …. We confirm that the analyst's firm-specific experience, the intensity of following that a firm receives, and the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079889
forecasts. We find evidence consistent with our expectation that egregious forecast errors motivate analysts to work harder to … information. This increased reliance on private information reduces the mean forecast error for upcoming earnings (even after … individual forecast error is idiosyncratic, and thus averaged out in the computation of the mean forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048424
We examine how forecast behaviors of East Asian financial analysts would change in the face of the escalated crimes … against Asians amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a Difference-in-Differences approach, we demonstrate that the forecast … performance of East Asian analysts. Consequently, the inferior forecast quality of East Asian financial analysts has a negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255111