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Most decisions concerning (self-)insurance and self-protection have to be taken in situations in which a) the effort exerted precedes the moment uncertainty realises, and b) the probabilities of future states of the world are not perfectly known. By integrating these two characteristics in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486991
includes Yaari's dual theory of choice and quantile maximization as special cases. We characterize when the optimal solution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252115
Using a theorem showing that matching probabilities of ambiguous events can capture ambiguity attitudes, we introduce a tractable method for measuring ambiguity attitudes and apply it in a large representative sample. In addition to ambiguity aversion, we confirm an ambiguity component recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037844
We investigate what it means for one act to be more ambiguous than another. The question is evidently analogous to asking what makes one prospect riskier than another, but beliefs are neither objective nor representable by a unique probability. Our starting point is an abstract class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694759
We consider individual's portfolio selection problems. Introducing the concept of ambiguity, we show the existence of portfolio inertia under the assumptions that decision maker's beliefs are captured by an inner measure, and that her preferences are represented by the Choquet integral with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070834
We examine a production-based asset pricing model with regime-switching productivity growth, learning and ambiguity. Both mean and volatility of the growth rate of productivity are assumed to follow a Markov chain with an unobservable state. The agent's preferences are characterized by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352422
We relate time-varying aggregate ambiguity (V-VSTOXX) to individual investor trading. We use the trading records of more than 100,000 individual investors from a large German online brokerage from March 2010 to December 2015. We find that an increase in ambiguity is associated with increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387918
This paper studies the optimal extraction of a non-renewable resource under uncertainty using a discrete-time approach in the spirit of the literature on precautionary savings. We find that boundedness of the utility function, in particular the assumption about U(0), gives very different results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528821
Prominent models such as maxmin expected utility/alpha-multiprior (MEU/ a -MP) and Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (KMM) interpret ambiguity aversion as aversion against second-order risks associated with ambiguous acts. We design an experiment where the decision maker draws twice with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801484
human capital investment decision. Real option theory offers a new perspective of the human capital investment decision … discuss discontinuities and sheepskin effects within this approach. -- human capital theory ; uncertainty ; irreversibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897279