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Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
empirical study has investigated the nexus between the analyst forecast dispersion (AFD) and excess returns surrounding stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556115
The efficient market hypothesis describes an efficient market as one in which investors cannot consistently predict stock returns because prices instantly reflect all the information flowing into the market. However, return predictability has been documented in many markets. This study tests the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179575
forecasts. Yet bias does not necessarily invalidate a forecast, nor does it impinge on its relative quality. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967143
controls for the forecast error throughout the quarter. Results show that during high macro uncertainty periods, the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313877
earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490078
This paper presents results from an experiment and follow-up survey examining whether stock prices influence analysts' earnings forecasts. In our experiment, prices influence analysts' forecasts when uncertainty about future earnings is high, but not when uncertainty is low. Additional analyses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139640
based on the absolute analysts' consensus forecast errors and determinants. The findings of this study indicate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102171
available forecast for each forecaster and the difference between the average and the forecast that this forecaster previously … made. We extended the knowledge base by analyzing the unpredictable component of the earnings forecast. We found that for … some forecasters the unpredictable component can be used to improve upon the predictable forecast, but we also found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895745
predict that this reluctance allows each firm's conservative forecast to be heavily influenced by the firm's past performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081059