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One fundamental assumption often made in the literature on unawareness is that risk preferences are invariant to changes of awareness. We study how exposure to unawareness affects choices under risk. Participants in our experiment choose repeatedly between varying sure outcomes and a lottery in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478981
Ellsberg's experiment involved a gamble with no ambiguity (N) and a gamble where the prize that could be won is objectively known, but the winning probability depends on the (ambiguous) urn's composition (P). We extend this by including a gamble where the winning probability is objectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130165
attitudes exemplifies the importance message conveyed by the ambiguity literature that it is unscientific to apply the theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088429
Prominent models such as MEU/α-MP and KMM interpret ambiguity aversion as aversion against second-order risks associated with ambiguous acts. We design an experiment where the decision maker draws twice with replacement in the typical Ellsberg two-color urns, but with a different color winning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068727
Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity is characterized by insufficient responsiveness to changes in subjective likelihoods. Such likelihood insensitivity under ambiguity is integral to theoretical models and predictive of behavior in many important domains such as financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013163191
We everyday engage in the 'Small Decision Making (SDM).' This paper presents an experiment on SDM that consists of the two treatments: (1) the search treatment in the context of SDM under uncertainty, where the decision makers are not disclosed the payoff structure; (2) the choice treatment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156244
theory such as the common ratio effect and the violations of the betweenness. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724658
In this paper we experimentally test skewness seeking at the individual level. Several prospects that can be ordered with respect to the third-degree stochastic dominance (3SD) criterion are ranked by the participants of the experiment. We find that the skewness of a distribution has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728702
We study the behavioral drivers of market entry. An experiment allows us to disentangle the impact on entry across different types of markets of two key behavioral mechanisms: overconfidence and attitude toward ambiguity. We theorize and show that the causal effect of overconfidence on entry is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902229
We present a set of experiments testing for incomplete preferences due to uncertainty. In a first experiment, we observe that approximately half of the participants exhibit a choice pattern inconsistent with models assuming complete preferences and Certainty Independence (CI). To understand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903069