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Could a monetary policy loosening in a low interest rate environment have unintended recessionary effects? Using a non-linear macroeconomic model fitted to the euro area economy, we show that the effectiveness of monetary policy can decline in negative territory until it reaches a turning point,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216262
Could a monetary policy loosening entail the opposite effect than the intended expansionary impact in a low interest rate environment? We demonstrate that the risk of hitting the rate at which the effect reverses depends on the capitalization of the banking sector by using a non-linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315005
The frequencies at which prices and wages are adjusted, interpreted as price and wage flexibility, are key elements in workhorse models used for policy analysis. Yet, there is little evidence regarding the relationship between these two sources of nominal rigidities. Using two large and highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496976
volume, an early exit, and a faster exit from the program on output and inflation in the euro area. Model simulations showed … that economic growth and inflation rates would decrease in all three scenarios. However, the effects of the scenario with … particular, an early exit from the program should significantly affect inflation rates, an effect that the European Central Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750746
Don Bellante and Roger W. Garrison (1988) compared two alternative approaches to monetary dynamics: those based on a vertical long-run Phillips Curve and those derived from analysis of Hayekian triangles. The conclusion the authors reached is that the only factor differentiating the two models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085532
In this paper, we examine whether domestic or global output gap affects inflation in three panels: the European Union … inflation in individual countries of the European Union. To find the determinants of inflation, we employ the Granger causality … show that after the crisis the global output gap predicts the evolution of inflation in the Eurozone panel. On the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464251
rate both matter for determining inflation and economic activity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584354
responds to inflation and output volatility, especially during economic crises. This framework offers a promising alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014538995
Modern monetary theory (MMT) has grown in popularity in recent years. Several central bankers have made passing comments about it. However, the publication of two papers by Drumetz/Pfister of the Banque de France in 2021 represents the first attempt at a more systematic assessment of MMT by two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433715
Empirical evidence suggests that considerable differentials in inflation rates exist across households. This paper … investigates how central banks should react to household inflation heterogeneity in a tractable New Keynesian model. We include two … households that differ in their consumer price inflation rates after adverse shocks. The central bank reacts to either an average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012803661