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We provide a comprehensive study of the liquidity of spot foreign exchange (FX) rates over more than two decades and a … large cross-section of currencies. First, we show that FX liquidity can be accurately measured with daily and readily …-available data. Second, we demonstrate that FX liquidity declines with funding constraints and global risk, supporting theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410328
This paper employs the post — Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (post — LASSO) to make rolling 1-month--ahead currency excess return forecasts using all other currencies' lagged forward discounts as candidate predictors. The trading strategy of buying (selling) quintile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850361
The study of financial shock propagation across markets has motivated numerous researchers to investigate the mechanisms of return and volatility spillovers to prevent harmful shock transmission. This article studies the contemporaneous spillovers by employing a structural vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295211
We analyze the cross-border propagation of systemic risk in the international sovereign debt market. Using daily data on CDS spreads for 67 sovereign borrowers from 2002 to 2013 we define sovereign credit events as those in which the spread widens by more than 99.9% of all spread changes within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055684
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850036
This paper examines spillover and spillback effects of unconventional monetary policies conducted by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Swiss National Bank (SNB) on the exchange rate's distribution. The empirical setup examines the price response of EURCHF risk reversal to a change in ECB and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538673
In this survey article, we present a rich extent of literature on volatility and its propagation on financial markets via spillovers. We document how new approaches or improved existing methodologies lead to results that offer richer insights than those derived from standard econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011598902
contemporaneously explain and predict carry trade returns but only when currency market liquidity is low. Our findings are consistent … traders to unwind their positions, thereby exacerbating the downward price pressure during liquidity dry-outs. This sheds new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871608
market spreads. Thus, comovement in liquidity is even more pervasive than previously documented. Second, we explore the … liquidity remains strong. This result suggests that correlated adverse selection effects across currencies and across currencies … and stocks are an important driver of liquidity comovement, and is consistent with a recent literature on aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092493
, consistent with theoretical models in which binding capital constraints lead to liquidity dry-ups, an overnight decline in the …. Moreover, I show that market liquidity of volatile stocks further deteriorates following an overnight market decline, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993528