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Changes in international shipping freight rates can predict US and international stock market returns. In today’s global world where economies are linked, shipping freight rates carry information about economic activity and stock returns. Using US size and sector indices we find that shipping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189457
In this paper we investigate the bond price effect upon the information arrival of firm-specific idiosyncratic risk. We consider idiosyncratic dispersion and idiosyncratic volatility that capture, respectively, the direction of information and the magnitude of idiosyncratic risk. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189478
This paper uses quantile regression techniques to investigate the temporal dependence patterns of major exchange rates around the globe. Specifically, we estimate quantile autoregressive models for daily exchange rate returns of the USD/EUR, USD/JPY, USD/GBP, USD/AUD, USD/CHF and USD/CAD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189516
This study examines the volatility spillovers between the foreign exchange rate markets of three of the USA’s major trading partners and the US stock market, utilizing the forecast-error variance decomposition framework of a VAR model proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189518
For gold, moving from clandestine to official trading does not significantly change informational efficiency. Both markets are inefficient suggesting that efficiency is linked more to the type of asset than to the legal status of the market.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189547
We show how multivariate GARCH models can be used to generate a time-varying “information share” (Hasbrouck, 1995) to represent the changing patterns of price discovery in closely related securities. We find that time-varying information shares can improve credit spread predictions.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189549
We examine the returns to UK government bonds before, during and between the phases of quantitative easing to identify the side effects for the market itself. We show that the onset of QE led to a sustained reduction in the costs of trading and removed some return regularities. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190170
We investigate whether and how multinationality affects the opaqueness of the firm. We use multiple alternative measurements of multinationality and opaqueness. Spanning nearly three decades for a large sample of US non-financial firms, we find a statistically and economically significant,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190848
We analyze the importance of personal attributes in explaining the performance of reported share transactions by corporate insiders. While prior literature has focused on observable firm and trade characteristics, little effort has been made to understand how individual attributes, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190859
Utilizing firm-specific news sentiment data provided by Thomson Reuters News Analytics, I construct aggregate measures to examine the relationship between news sentiment and stock market returns over the period 2004–2010. I find a highly significant relationship between aggregated measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011191075