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We examine the impact of temporal and portfolio aggregation on the quality of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts over a horizon of ten trading days for a well-diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds and alternative investments. The VaR forecasts are constructed based on daily, weekly or biweekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970357
In this paper we develop a flexible and analytically tractable framework to compute the Credit Expected Shortfall in an explit if form through Kumaraswamy (1980) distribution with both default rate and recovery rate time-varying. The default rate is assumed to follow a square root process, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013025
In a context of an ever-changing regulatory environment over the last years, Banks have witnessed the draft and publication of several regulatory guidelines and requirements in order to frame and structure their internal Risk Management.Among these guidelines, one has been specifically designed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919835
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418364
. Two approaches based on the extreme value theory were compared: Block Maxima and the Peaks Over Threshold. Forecasts were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302139
Given the increasing interest in cryptocurrencies shown by investors and researchers, and the importance of the potential loss scenarios resulting from investment/trading activities, this research provides market operators with a dynamic overview on the short-term portfolio tail risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542685
A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349502
The paper focuses on the interaction between the solvency probability of a banking firm and the diversification potential of its asset portfolio when determining optimal equity capital. The purpose of this paper is to incorporate value at risk (VaR) into the firm-theoretical model of a banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768157
The article deals with the liquidity risk in the banks in the context of the financial crisis. At first, the balance sheet and market liquidity are defined and the main principles of the methods for measuring liquidity risk, which banks use, are identified. Then follow review of main challenges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460084
We put forward a framework for measuring systemic risk and attributing it to individual banks. Systemic risk is measured as the expected loss to depositors and investors when a low-probability systemic event occurs. The risk contributions are calculated based on derivatives of the systemic risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118586