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This paper provides an empirical study on the predictability of implied volatility using dataset collected from the … implied volatility characteristics across various maturities. We applied both in and out-of-sample tests that include the … provides evidence of non-random movement in the implied volatility series and indicates predictability of implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121151
of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight … of the volatility forecasts drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893144
predict future returns, there is a significant relation between volatility spreads and expected stock returns. Portfolio level … the realized-implied volatility spread that can be viewed as a proxy for volatility risk. The results also provide … evidence for a significantly positive link between expected returns and the call-put options' implied volatility spread that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116882
This paper examines the relationship between volatility and the probability of occurrence of expected extreme returns … in the Canadian market. Four measures of volatility are examined: implied volatility from firm option prices, conditional … volatility calculated using an EGARCH model, idiosyncratic, and expected shortfall. A significantly positive relationship is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959255
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023859
This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and stock returns in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries by applying parametric and nonparametric approaches. It also explores the idiosyncratic risk puzzle by dividing firms into groups based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307488
This paper proposes an alternative model to Brownian-type models for high frequency market price processes which is much closer to reality and thus more appropriate for use in process behavior and optimization research. The proposed model is a modified Poisson process
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349712
exposure to changes in the price of the underlying stock (delta), and exposure to changes in implied volatility (vega) are …-known market, size, book-to-market, momentum, and short-term reversal factors. Additional volatility, stock, and option market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111682
exposure to changes in the underlying stock price (delta), and exposure to changes in implied volatility (vega) are removed …-to-market, momentum, short-term reversal, volatility, or option market factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094978