Using detailed Danish micro-data, we study how a credit-driven boom in consumer demand affects firm dynamics. We exploit the introduction of interest-only mortgages in 2003 to estab- lish a structural break in Danish households' spending capacity. A difference-in-differences approach indicates...

We leverage survey data from emerging and developing Asia to highlight different aspects of household vulnerability to income shocks arising from the Covid-19 pandemic: occupation in Cambodia, self-insurance mechanisms in Nepal, and financial leverage in Vietnam. Occupation and ex-ante income...

COVID-19 hit on the back of weakening productivity growth in many advanced and emerging Asian countries, a trend that could be exacerbated by the pandemic. Interestingly, productivity growth in the region was slowing even amid increased innovation effort, as proxied by spending on research and...

In this paper we examine whether house price changes drive mortgage-based equity extraction. To do this we use longitudinal survey data with subjective information about current and expected future house prices to calculate unanticipated house price changes. We link this information at the...

Rising mortgage rates have led to one in five Danish fixed-rate mortgages to be refinanced during the first three quarters of 2022. The unique Danish match-funding principle has allowed fixed rate mortgage borrowers to buy back their existing mortgages at a 18 per cent discount, on average. 62...

This memo studies the impact of demographic shifts and income inequality on the evolution of savings rates in Denmark, and compares with evidence from the US. Income inequality has followed similar trends in Denmark as in the US, and savings rates vary in a similar way over the life cycle and...

This paper uses two decades of individual level information from Danish administrative registers to show that a 1-dollar increase in pension wealth leads to a 26-cent rise in total debt. We exploit time-sector variation in mandatory pension contribution rates to isolate the effect of pension...

This paper offers new empirical evidence on the marginal propensity to consume out of an unanticipated liquidity shock. A Danish 2012 policy reform reduced the incentive to retire early in order to increase labour supply but at the same time the policy released a substantial amount of savings...

We examine whether unanticipated changes in home values drive spending and mortgage-based equity extraction. To do this we use longitudinal survey data with subjective information about current and expected future home values to calculate unanticipated home value changes. We link this...

Measuring the effect of an unanticipated reduction in tax credits on pension savings, this paper shows that individuals tend to make extraordinary repayments on their debt when saving in retirement accounts becomes less attractive. We conclude that tax-favoured retirement accounts could affect...