We provide an in-depth analysis of the predictive ability of models with fundamentals and technical indicators for fourteen emerging market currencies. Our findings suggest that the forecasts from the symmetric Taylor rule as well as from a predictive regression exploiting the informational...

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade crashes during the turbulent periods surrounding the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis and the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. The motivation is to use an important tendency of...

This chapter book identifies three crisis warning indicators driven from trading in emerging markets' carry trades, and empirically examines whether these indicators could predict two major financial crises that hit the global financial markets in the last decades – The 1997-1998 Asian crisis...

This paper investigates the relation between stock returns and trading volume (as measured by turnover) in a small emerging market, i.e., the Egyptian Securities Exchange (ESE). We are interested in examining the power of stock trading volume in predicting future return. To this end, we use a...

Using data from G5 developed countries, this paper investigates the impact of the financial crises on the integration of equity markets. To this end, a modified version of the Fama and French two-factor model (1998) such that the currency risk is incorporated as an additional economic risk...

This article investigates the informational efficiency of the corporate bond market by examining whether the technical analysis of volume data can help in predicting the bond return volatility as well as the bond returns itself. To this end, the researcher uses prices and volume data obtained...

This paper examines whether the 20072008 global financial crisis (GFC) played any role in changing the state of efficiency for the foreign exchange markets. For comparison purposes, I assess market efficiency based on the forward unbiasedness hypothesis (FUH) as well as the profitability of...

I examine the profitability of three simple foreign exchange technical trading rules (moving average, momentum, and relative strength index) before, during and after the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. The overall findings reveal that these technical indicators could produce statistically...

This paper examines whether liquidity or credit quality (probability of default) “contributes” more to the explanation of currency excess returns, using two baskets of bilateral exchange rates – developed and emerging countries. My central finding is that U.S. investors generally care only...

This paper examines the impact of reclassifying equity Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs) in the S&P 500 by transferring them from the Financials sector to a new Global Industry Classification Standard sector named Real Estate in an event-study context. The creation of the new sector had a...