This paper studies the asset pricing implications of idiosyncratic labor income tail risk on credit spread. I propose a model featuring an incomplete market, heterogeneous households with recursive preference, and comovement of tail risk in labor income and firm cash flow growth. The model...

In this paper we study empirically the implications of macroeconomic disagreement for the time variation in bond market risk premia. If there is a source of heterogeneity in the belief structure of the economy then differences in beliefs can affect equilibrium asset prices, and the dynamics of...

The central ingredient of empirical asset pricing tests is the (expected) risk premium. However, heterogeneity in expectations makes aggregation of beliefs a non-trivial task. This paper proposes a novel approach to estimate subjective bond risk premia based on the historical accuracy of...

Affine term structure models of bond yields are important tools for analyzing fixed income markets and monetary policy. Estimators of Adrian, Crump, and Mönch (2013) and Diez de Los Rios (2015) replace time-consuming nonlinear search procedures with a set of simple linear regressions. However,...

This paper demonstrates a novel risk premium channel for firms' dynamic lease versus buy decision. In a typical operating lease contract, a less financially constrained lessor (capital owner) effectively provides an insurance mechanism to a more constrained lessee (capital borrower) against the...

We introduce imperfect information and parameter learning into a production-based asset pricing model. Our model features slow learning about firms' exposure to aggregate productivity shocks over time. In contrast to a full information case, our framework provides a unified explanation for the...

This paper studies how the durability of assets affects the cross-section of stock returns. More durable assets incur lowers frictionless user costs but are more "expensive", in the sense that they need more down payments making them hard to finance. In recessions, firms become more financially...

This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...