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The paper investigates the determinants of the US$/€ exchange rate since its introduction in 1999, with a special focus on the recent subprime mortgage and sovereign debt financial crises. The econometric model is grounded on the asset pricing theory of exchange rate determination, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009488
domestic banking crises. Using a new data set for 38 advanced and emerging economies over 1970–2011, we show that credit growth … in the rest of the world has a large positive effect on the probability of banking crises taking place at home, even when … controlling for domestic credit growth. Our results suggest that this effect is larger for financially open economies, and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963710
Banking crises are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep … freezes, banking crises, credit crunches and severe recessions. Those "financial" recessions follow credit booms and are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998760
Wealthier economies experience less frequent but more severe financial crises. To investigate this puzzle, we propose a model of collateralized lending in which: (1) borrowers endogenously determine collateral quality, and (2) lenders can produce costly information about collateral. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850875
In this paper, I first quickly recount the causes and consequences of the global financial crisis (GFC). Of course, the triggering event was the unfolding of the subprime crisis; however, I argue that the financial system was already so fragile that just about anything could have caused the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121396
midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep and long-lasting recessions. We attempt to explain these … information on this market may generate sudden interbank market freezes, SBCs, credit crunches and, ultimately, severe recessions …. Simulations of a calibrated version of the model indicate that typical SBCs break out in the midst of a credit boom generated by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086964
the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152926
credit default swaps for investors is to blame for the financial crisis. We find little evidence for this. Housing data … credit default swaps that were used to insure mortgage-backed securities would have been low because housing investments were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
Banking crises are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep … freezes, banking crises, credit crunches and, ultimately, severe recessions. The model can potentially generate various types … of banking crises. But the typical crisis breaks out endogenously, during a credit boom generated by a sequence of small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065656
Motivated by a recognition of the increased vulnerability of the banking sector to the COVID-19 pandemic, we examine market-based systemic risk and connectedness in the banking sector of Gulf Cooperation Council member countries, which include Bahrain, Kuwait, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212147