News and sentiment in news often influence financial markets and asset prices. While this is well-recognized by investors, only few studies have used sentiment in news to predict future developments in financial markets to formulate alpha generating strategies, let alone create a best practice...

Recently, investor sentiment measures have become one of the more widely examined areas in behavioral finance. A number of measures have been developed in the literature without having been fully validated, and therefore leaving in question which measure should be used for empirical exploration....

This paper proposes a new metric to gauge investor sentiment using a relative valuation method. We combine investor behavioral finance traits and option-implied standard deviations under both the real-world probability (P) valued most in the view of uninformed investors and the risk-neutral...

This paper examines the relationship between investor sentiment and UK stock returns at economy and industry level. Using consumer and business confidence indicators provided by the European Commission, we provide novel evidence on whether sector-specific sentiment differs from the aggregate...

The tonality of news reporting has been shown to have explanatory and predictive power for equity prices. Using a novel approach and data set, we demonstrate that the news sentiment effect also holds for US government bond duration. We construct a successful trading strategy for the US 10-year...

In this study, we apply new sentiment variables and examine dynamic connectedness among major market indices in Europe and that of USA. By doing this, we use the GARCH-MIDAS model and its extensions to provide new insights on the impact of behavioural biases on asset prices. Specifically, we...

We present a model with dispersed information in which investors decide whether or to what degree they want to allow their behavior to be influenced by "market sentiment". Investors who choose to insulate their decision from market sentiment earn higher expected returns, but incur a small mental...

This study explores the nexus between investors’ sentiments and herding behavior toward the market consensus in the U.S. and Europe stock markets from January, 2005 to April, 2021. We document strong evidence of herding during periods characterized by high level of sentiments. Our results...

Errors in survey expectations display waves of pessimism and optimism and significant sluggishness. This paper develops a novel theoretical framework of time-varying beliefs capturing these empirical facts. In our model, the dynamic beliefs arise endogenously due to agents’ attitude toward...