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This research paper aim to examine the profitability of various kinds of oscillator used in technical analysis on market index of NSE (National Stock Exchange) S&P CNX NIFTY 50 during 2004-2014. We have selected the most commonly used three oscillators i.e., Stochastic oscillator, RSI Oscillator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010826
Several studies have attributed the high excess returns of the momentum strategy in the equity market to investor behavioral biases. However, whether momentum effects occur because of investor underreaction or because of investor overreaction remains a question. Using a simple model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012436
The authors present a rational learner agent, which considers the information coming from a behavioral counterpart during the allocation process.The learner agent adopts a herding behavior by conditioning her choice on the selection of the portfolio's constituents.They use the concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012446
We analyze the joint out-of-sample predictive ability of a comprehensive set of 299 firm characteristics for cross-sectional stock returns. We develop a cross-sectional out-of-sample R2 statistic that provides an informative measure of the accuracy of cross-sectional return forecasts in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852228
Asset allocation is critically dependent on the ability to forecast the equity risk premium (ERP) out-of-sample. But, is superior econometric predictability across the business cycle synonymous to predictability at all times? We evaluate recently introduced ERP forecasting models, which have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855775
We introduce a new measure of stock misevaluation, 𝑄, which is consistent with the Gordon growth model for firm valuation. In our empirical application, we use 𝑄 to relate analyst forecasts to stock returns and measure the profitability of investment strategies that rely on information in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856424
This paper examines the profitability of index trading strategies that are based on dual moving average crossover (DMAC) rules in the Russian stock market over the 2003–2012 period. It contributes to the existing technical analysis (TA) literature by comparing for the first time in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859037
This paper examines the profitability of dual moving average crossover (DMAC) trading strategies in the Russian stock market over the 2003–2012 period. It contributes to the existing technical analysis (TA) literature by testing, for the first time, the applicability of ordered weighted moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859100
For US investors, international equity exposure has never been so readily available at such a low cost. Nonetheless, surveys indicate US investors typically allocate 80–85% of their equity holdings to US equities, much higher than their proportion of global market value. In this note we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860180
Black and Scholes is an institution in quantitative finance. The main innovation was in the existence of a self financing portfolio which is able to replicate the (supposedly smooth) price process of a contingent claim.Clearly established as representation model via the market implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047687