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We now know that research findings favorable to the sponsor of the research should be discounted on the grounds of conflict of interest (e.g., tobacco companies or pharma companies). Incentives distort research findings. Is the same true in the field of finance? I argue that economic incentives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290264
We examine whether real-time return forecasts are valuable to an investor looking to allocate their portfolio across a wide selection of countries. We expand the Sum-of-Parts (SoP) method for forecasting stock returns to an international setup by adding FX returns as an additional component. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403620
Combining novel data on analyst employment history and mutual fund commission payments, we show that client funds generate higher returns on stocks for which they have access to research by industry expert analysts. The outperformance is greater when funds are more important clients, and it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404849
The recommendation of the analyst report is not only limited to a small number of ratings, but also biased toward a buy opinion with the absence of sell opinion. As an alternative to this, this paper aims to extract analysts' textual opinions embedded in the report body through text analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312024
We introduce artificial intelligence pricing theory (AIPT). In contrast with the APT's foundational assumption of a low dimensional factor structure in returns, the AIPT conjectures that returns are driven by a large number of factors. We first verify this conjecture empirically and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072953
Incentives distort research findings. We now know that research findings favorable to the sponsor of the research should be discounted on the grounds of conflict of interest (e.g., tobacco companies or pharma companies). Is the same true in the field of finance? I argue that economic incentives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213636
This paper investigates the changes in the investment portfolio performance after including VIX. We apply different models for optimal portfolio selection (Markowitz and Black-Litterman) assuming both the possibility of short sale and the lack of it. We also use various assets, data frequencies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045824
Spanish Abstract: En el artículo se presentan dos estrategias de inversión a partir de un modelo CAPM Sectorial con el objetivo de comprobar si mediante su utilización es posible obtener rendimientos ajustados por riesgo superiores a los del mercado. Esta comprobación implica asimismo, por...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047120
I propose to forecast the market returns through its constituents. In contrast to the voluminous literature that concentrates on the predictive power of aggregate cross-sectional or macroeconomic predictors, I analyze the return predictability of sub-portfolios that compose the market portfolio....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349284
The central question addressed in this note is whether it is better to sell (and re-purchase) appreciated assets now and pay today's long-term capital gains tax rate, or wait to realize gains in the future and pay a likely higher capital gains tax rate. The authors argue that a framework based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352082