Using a new firm-level dataset that includes explicit information on referrals by current employees, we investigate the hiring process and the relationships among referrals, match quality, wage trajectories and turnover for a single U.S. corporation, and test various predictions of theoretical...

This study addresses the impact of offshorability (a job characteristic indicating how easily a job can be offshored) on employment changes and worker mobility in Germany. A composite measure of offshorability for German data is used which broadens existing measurements such as Blinder (2009)....

The limited nature of data on employment referrals in large business and household surveys has so far impeded our efforts to understand the relationships among employment referrals, match quality, wage trajectories, and turnover. Using a new firm-level data set that includes explicit information...

This paper uses CPS gross flow data, adjusted for margin error and time aggregation error, to analyze the business cycle dynamics of separation and job finding rates and to quantify their contributions to overall unemployment variability. Cyclical changes in the separation rate lead those of...

This paper establishes robust cyclical features of the U.S. labor market by estimating VAR models of the job loss rate, job finding rate, and vacancies. To identify the aggregate business cycle shock, the author adopts the agnostic Bayesian identification approach developed by Uhlig (2005) and...

Drawing on CPS data, the authors show that total monthly job loss and hiring among U.S. workers, as well as job loss hazard rates, are strongly countercyclical, while job finding hazard rates are strongly procyclical. They also find that total job loss and job loss hazard rates lead the business...

We study how firms respond to predictable, but uncertain, worker absences arising from maternity and non-work-related sickness leave. Using administrative data on over 1.5 million spells of leave in Brazil, we identify the short-run effects of a leave spell starting on firms' employment, hiring,...

We analyze how hiring and firing costs as well as firing regulatory delays affect firms' hiring, firing, and relocation policy with a stochastic control model. These frictions are substantial; e.g., the firing delay can be almost a year. In the model hiring and firing costs depend on the firm...

We document and attempt to explain the recent decline in employment dynamics in the U.S. We have four major empirical findings. First, each measure exhibits a “stair step” pattern, with the declines concentrated in recessions and little increase during subsequent expansions. Second, changes...

In recessions, unemployment increases despite the—perhaps counterintuitive—fact that thenumber of unemployed workers finding jobs expands. On net, unemployment rises only becauseeven more workers lose their jobs. We propose a theory of unemployment fluctuations resting onthis...