In this paper, we extend the concept of News Impact Curve developed by Engle and Ng (1993) to the higher moments of the multivariate returns' distribution, thereby providing a tool to investigate the impact of shocks on the characteristics of the subsequent distribution. For this purpose, we...

This paper presents a simple rational expectations model of intertemporal asset pricing. It shows that state-independent heterogeneous risk aversion of investors is likely to generate declining aggregate relative risk aversion. This leads to predictability of asset returns and high and...

This paper presents an equilibrium model that provides a rational explanation for two features of data that have been considered puzzling: The positive relation between US dividend yields and nominal interest rates, often called the Fed-model, and the time-varying correlation of US stock and...

The correlation between stock and bond returns is a cornerstone of asset allocation decisions. The correlation can move considerably over time, which can have a large impact on portfolio construction. Our empirical evidence points to inflation and real returns on short-term bonds, and the...

This paper proposes a dynamic information diffusion model that explains the lead-lag reaction of stock prices resulting from the interaction of price trends and implied price risk (IPR). Consistent with our model's predictions, we construct a zero investment underreaction portfolio (overreaction...

This work evaluates the behavior of portfolios comprised of Brazilian stocks ranked by their volatility to investigate the low volatility anomaly.Between January 2003 and December 2021, the low volatility portfolio presented a 6% annual return above the high volatility portfolio. This result is...

In this paper, we analyze relevant prior research about equity market anomalies during times of crisis and supplement it with empirical evidence from the Italian market. We create ten Italian equity portfolios ranging from low-risk to high-risk and look at the how economic distress periods and...

We propose a global expected business cycle condition factor (GEBC) relying on OECD leading economic indicators of 18 stock markets through Principal Component Analysis (PCA) approach, and show that this index is a powerful predictor for stock returns around the globe both in- and out-of-sample....

The ancient Chinese Almanac lists days that are (in)auspicious for certain actions or events. We find that the initial returns for Initial Public Offerings (IPO), an essential corporate event, are significantly lower on days listed by the Almanac as unlucky. The effect of calendar superstition...

We introduce a simple and highly portable measure capturing the impact of price path visualizations on investor behavior, beliefs, and financial market outcomes: the visual shape score (VSS). The score reflects the degree of convexity of a price path. Although VSS is only a single metric, it...