We develop a model that can match two stylized facts of the term-structure. The first stylized fact is the predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of risk. The second stylized fact is that long-term yields are...

We develop a model that can match two stylized facts of the term-structure. The first stylized fact is the predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of risk. The second stylized fact is that long-term yields are...

We use co-fractional models to evaluate the predictive relations between returns and a valuation ratio. The co-fractional model can handle situations where financial returns are predicted using persistent valuation ratios, like dividend to price. For our application we consider very long time...

We study the factors influencing the sugar imports in China. A multivariate linear regression model for quantitative analysis in established and the model is researched with multicollinearity treatment, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity test. Research result shows that the per capita income...

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads using a large sample of countries. Design/methodology/approach: In this paper, the authors use a wide set of the sovereign CDS data of...

Recent changes to China's financial system, in particular ongoing interest rate liberalization, gradual movement toward a more flexible exchange rate regime, and rapid development of capital markets, have changed substantially the environment in which monetary policy operates. In light of these...