According to the favorite-longshot bias observed in parimutuel betting, the final distribution of bets overestimates the winning chance of longshots. This paper proposes an explanation of this bias based on late betting by small privately informed bettors. These bettors have an incentive to...

Daily financial market returns (as log difference in closing prices) may be quite sensitive to operations with low trading volumes and big changes in prices frequently traded at market closing times. This paper proposes a more robust estimation of market, returns by providing a new indicator...

We use the event-study methodology to analyze the effectiveness of the foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) during the period from 1986 through 1995. We find some evidence that the interventions of the SNB had an impact on exchange rate dynamics. The...

I use a time-varying parameter model in order to study the predictability of monthly real stock returns in Germany over the period 1880–1913. I find that the extent to which returns were predictable underwent significant changes over time. Specifically, predictability of returns, as measured...

We study the determinants and valuation consequences of rehiring a former CEO. Rehiring is more likely after poor performance of the current CEO, if the former CEO performed well during his prior tenure and maintains strong connections to the firm, and the more intangible are the firm's assets....

We analyse the wide array of rescue programmes adopted in several countries, following Lehman Brothers� default in September 2008, in order to support banks and other financial institutions. We first provide an overview of the programmes, comparing their characteristics, magnitudes and...

This paper views the housing and credit bubble 2001-2008 in a stylized manner, namely as a sequence starting with a financial innovation in 2001 followed by the superimposition of other financial innovations leading to the prevalence of uncertainty in Knight’s sense and ending in the last...

This paper tests the momentum effect in the Mexican Stock Exchange. We document a strong momentum effect for this stock market during the period 1993-2006. In addition, we also find that neither risk factors nor transaction costs can explain the returns of the momentum strategies in this market....

In this study, volatility of sock return behavior through a regime-Switching Asymmetric Power GARCH Model (RS-APGARCH) analyses in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), Turkey, during the period of 1988-2006 and show that ISE's asymmetric response and the intensity of this response to good and/or bad...