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Prior research demonstrates that investors respond differently to earnings surprises that are part of a string of consecutive earnings increases or surprises than to those that are not. To shed light on who values these patterns, I compare trading responses of small and large traders to earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106750
Burgstahler and Eames (2003) present evidence that analysts commonly anticipate earnings management to avoid small losses, but often incorrectly predict its occurrence. Here we consider whether the market's behavior mimics that of analysts. Our results suggest that analysts exhibit more forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108318
We reexamine the time-series properties and determinants of the relation between aggregate earnings and returns (earnings response coefficient, ERC) employing return decompositions with longer historical data. We find that aggregate ERC is time-varying, above and beyond the evidence documented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109120
The financial crisis induced by Lehman Brothers originated from media coverage of unauthentic rumors. In financial markets, the concept of “self-fulfilling prophecy” highlights the importance of market participants' beliefs, and brings attention to the media's controversial role by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109159
The English version of this paper can be found at; "http://ssrn.com/abstract=2240614" http://ssrn.com/abstract=2240614W artykule wykazano, że inwestorzy nie łączą ceny emisyjnej akcji z jej ceną nominalną, co umożliwia debiutującym spółkom maksymalizowanie agio poprzez obniżanie ceny...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088350
The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) anomaly refers to the tendency of stock prices to continue drifting in the same direction as earnings surprises well through the subsequent earnings announcements; ignoring the autocorrelations in extreme earnings surprises across adjacent quarters....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090197
The relation between aggregate earnings and aggregate returns is complex and not fully understood. For example, in contrast to firm-level relations, prior literature finds aggregate earnings changes and aggregate stock returns are negatively related. This paper constructs new measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091927
We examine how the information produced by analysts when they initiate coverage contributes to the mix of firm-specific, industry-, and market-wide information available about the firm. We hypothesize that the first analyst to initiate coverage provides low cost market and industry information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066205
We outline a systematic approach to incorporate macroeconomic information into firm level forecasting from the perspective of an equity investor. Using a global sample of 198,315 firm-years over the 1998-2010 time period, we find that combining firm level exposures to countries (via geographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066490
An accounting-based model has strong out-of-sample power not only to detect fraud, but also to predict cross-sectional returns. Firms with a higher probability of manipulation (MSCORE) earn lower returns in every decile portfolio sorted by: Size, Book-to-Market, Momentum, Accruals, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066697