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We present a simple framework in which both the exchange rates disconnect and forward bias puzzles are simultaneously resolved. The flexible-price two-country monetary model is extended to include a consumption externality with habit persistence. Habit persistence is modeled using Campbell...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559261
Historical ‘bubbles’ are often attributed to mispricing, but the empirical analysis of such episodes has been limited. This paper examines a notable but academically neglected period, known as the British Railway Mania, using a new dataset and a cross-sectional methodology which is unique to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560080
Two main approaches are commonly used to empirically evaluate linear factor pricing models: regression and SDF methods, with centred and uncentred versions of the latter. We show that unlike standard two-step or iterated GMM procedures, single-step estimators such as continuously updated GMM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560467
The article presents a model of default dependency based on Levy subordinator. It is a tractable one-factor model with an architecture similar to that of the standard Gaussian copula model, providing easy calibration to individual hazard rate curves and efficient pricing with Fast Fourier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560493
Following the launch of the Euro in 1999, integration among Euro area financial markets increased considerably. As a result, portfolio home bias declined across the European financial markets. However, greater market integration has generated a new bias: portfolio Euro bias, a situation where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560975
I first introduce the early-stage and modern classical asset pricing and portfolio theories. These include: the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the arbitrage pricing theory (APT), the consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM), the intertemporal capital asset pricing model (ICAPM), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560978
In this paper the author proves that the Expected Net Future Value (ENFV) criterion can lead a risk neutral social planner to reject projects that increase expected utility. By contrast, the Expected Net Present Value (ENPV) rule correctly identifies the economic value of the project. While the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561126
Futures have been recently introduced to cater the needs of investors and fill up the existing gaps in stock market. Studies show that, in the long-run, futures introduction does not have any effect on the spot market; however, in the short-run volatility in the spot market increases; Paudyal et...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561159
The adoption of Basel II standards by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas initiates financial institutions to develop value-at-risk (VaR) models to measure market risk. In this paper, two VaR models are considered using the peaks-over-threshold (POT) approach of the extreme value theory: (1) static...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562604
We implement a recursive out-of-sample method to examine anomalies-based ex-ante predictability in the cross-section of stock returns. We obtain a series of simulated out-of-sample returns, consistent with investors using only prior information when choosing predictor variables. We find that, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563288