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This paper presents a detailed empirical examination of the South African equity premium; and a quantitative theoretic exercise to test the canonical inter-temporal consumption-based asset-pricing model under power utility. Over the long run, the South African stock market produced average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563318
We study the determinants of sovereign bond spreads in the euro area since the introduction of the euro. We show that an aggregate risk factor is a main driver of spreads. This factor also plays an important indirect role for risk spreads through its interaction with the size and structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008564415
Arbitrage Pricing Theory is a one period asset pricing model used to predict equity returns based on a multivariate linear regression. We choose three sets of factors – Market specific, firm specific, and an autoregressive return term to explain returns on twenty U.S. stocks, using monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008564504
We introduce a canonical representation of call options, and propose a solution to two open problems in option pricing theory. The first problem was posed by (Kassouf, 1969, pg. 694) seeking “theoretical substantiation” for his robust option pricing power law which eschewed assumptions about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008564515
We show that the price of a Treasury bond and an inflation-swapped TIPS issue exactly replicating the cash flows of the Treasury bond can differ by more than $20 per $100 notional. Treasury bonds are almost always overvalued relative to TIPS. Total TIPS-Treasury mispricing has exceeded $56...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565072
We use Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to investigate the linkage between the volatility of ethanol security prices and the uncertainty surrounding the profitability of ethanol production and the price variations of non-ethanol energy securities. The joint evolution of return and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565413
We propose to discuss the efficiency of the spectral method for computing the value of Double Barrier Options. Using this method, one may write the option price as a Fourier series, with suitable coefficients. We propose a simple approach for its computing. One consider the general case, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565438
This empirical research explores the interaction between the overnight currency swap rates (Turkish lira rates) and BIST overnight repo rates. In this context, the derived no arbitrage condition reveals that the differential between the two rates is determined by Libor, financial institutions’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896076
This paper investigates the impact of surprises associated with monthly macroeconomic news releases on Treasury-bond yields, by paying particular attention to the moment at which the information is published in the month. Implementing an event study on intraday data, we show that (i) the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896305
I consider a consumption based asset pricing model where the consumer does not know if shocks to dividends are stationary (temporary) or non-stationary (permanent). The agent uses a Bayesian learning algorithm with a bias towards recent observations to assign probability to each process. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896682