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We find that CEOs release 20% more discretionary news items in months in which they are expected to sell equity, predicted using scheduled vesting months. These vesting months are determined by equity grants made several years prior, and thus unlikely driven by the current information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856547
News carry information of market moves. The gargantuan plethora of opinions, facts and tweets on financial business offers the opportunity to test and analyze the influence of such text sources on future directions of stocks. It also creates though the necessity to distill via statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019423
We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the underlying stock around earnings announcements and annual meetings of shareholders, even after controlling for the realized stock return volatility shortly before these information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046741
More than 650 U.S. public company executives predict the stock price response to their quarterly financial reports and share their prediction after under a nondisclosure agreement. Despite having full knowledge of the reports before their release, executives’ estimates differ from realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234899
empirical results suggest GARCH-news model with skew-t innovation distribution as the best candidate for intraday returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251599
We examine the effect of monetary policy announcements in Thailand, which is one of emerging market countries in Asia, on stock prices at the firm level. We find that the expected change, rather than the unexpected change, in interest rates affects stock prices. The stock price response to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063482
Using a large panel of U.S. accounts trades and positions, we show that retail investors trade as contrarians after large earnings surprises, especially for loser stocks, and such contrarian trading contributes to post earnings announcement drift (PEAD) and momentum. Indeed, when we double-sort...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312913
Focusing on the foreign exchange reaction to macroeconomic announcements, we show that fast trading is positively and significantly correlated with the entropy of the distribution of quoted prices in reaction to news: a larger share of fast trading increases the degree of diversity of quotes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037341
Using an event study approach, we seek to estimate the market value investors placed on Steve Jobs by investigating the stock market reactions to his death. In the three-day window surrounding his death, the estimated cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) are -5.76%. Given the market capitalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998218
Using two unique data sets of NASDAQ stocks, I examine the influence and informational role of hidden orders in the NASDAQ. I find that as much as 20% of trading volume is executed against hidden orders, with 16% of the best bid and ask offers invisible to the public due to these orders. I find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949243