We investigate the effect of information uncertainty on the macroeconomicannouncement premium of the market return in addition to theeffect of fundamentals uncertainty. We show that the premium issignificant only during low information uncertainty periods, opposite to thecase of fundamentals...

This paper studies the impact of different types and styles of Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) communication on asset prices (stock prices, gilt yields and interest rate futures) from 1999-2023. We extend MPC communication to include MPC speeches and find MPC speeches to be an...

Average return differences among firms sorted on valuation ratios, past investment, prof-itability, market beta, or idiosyncratic volatility are largely driven by differences in exposures offirms to the same systematic factor related to embodied technology shocks. Using a calibratedstructural...

We quantify disagreement about the economy with ex-ante measures of divergence of opinion among economic forecasters and investigate if economic disagreement has a significant impact on the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks. We find a significant disagreement premium of 7.2% per...

I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model that jointly explains the high equity premium, the counter-cyclical behaviour of stock returns, the upward sloping term structure of interest rates and the downward sloping term structure of equity. The driving forces behind these results are...

We discover a novel monetary policy shock that has a widespread impact on aggregate financial conditions. Our shock can be summarized by the response of long-horizon yields to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements; not only is it orthogonal to changes in the near-term path of policy...

Since the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) began announcing its policy decisions in 1994, U.S. stock returns have on average been more than thirty times larger on announcement days than on other days. Surprisingly, these abnormal returns are accrued before the policy announcement. The excess...

When credit default swaps (CDS) spreads change, to what extent can we interpret that the credit risk of the reference entities have changed? We study determinants of CDS spread changes between consecutive trades. Using transactions data for corporate reference entities in North America during...

Using the expected option-implied variance reduction to measure the sensitivity of stock returns to monetary policy announcement surprises, this paper shows that monetary policy announcements require significant risk compensation in the cross section of equity returns. We present evidence that...

We show that the pattern of positive pre-announcement market drift is present not only for FOMC announcements, as documented by Lucca and Moench (2015), but also for other major macroeconomic announcements such as Nonfarm Payroll, ISM and GDP. This commonality in pre-announcement returns leads...