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We provide evidence that equity investors with limited attention are slow to incorporate how current oil price changes affect future earnings announcements. A cross-sectional equity trading strategy that exploits this inefficiency yields an annualized Sharpe Ratio of 0.57. Stock prices respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852476
We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the underlying stock around earnings announcements and annual meetings of shareholders, even after controlling for the realized stock return volatility shortly before these information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046741
We study the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) anomaly and its determinants in Borsa Istanbul using quarterly earnings announcements and three different surprise measures. We find evidence supportive of the existence of PEAD in the Turkish stock market. Sorting stocks each quarter into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816435
In this paper, I empirically test the conservatism effect of Barberis, Shleifer and Vishny (1998). Conditioning on a shock to quarterly earnings, firms ranking in the top (bottom) earnings shock quintile exhibit substantial price momentum over the next three-month periods following the initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068900
This study investigates whether the timing of earnings announcement in earnings season affects stock price discovery process. This paper documents that market reaction is more favorable for earnings announcements made at the beginning of earnings season (“timing effect”). Price reaction on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003471
Stock prices following earnings announcements have become more efficient. Prices on announcement dates incorporate more quickly earnings surprises, leading to the disappearance of post-announcement price drifts. Evidence suggests that trading frictions commonly associated with market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853003
Several influential studies have concluded that earnings surprises just to the right or to the left of a hypothesized bright line produce distinct price reactions compared to the surrounding earnings surprises because they convey special meaning. In this study, we examine whether previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969623
This paper investigates the usefulness of the real-time macroeconomic news-flow as a leading indicator of firm-level end-of-quarter realized earnings. Using recent advances in macroeconomics, I develop a nowcasting model for quarterly earnings and provide two main findings. First, I show that my...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973756
We argue the earnings announcement premium is a measure of firm-specific uncertainty aversion. Our stylized model shows earnings announcements, as pure news events, are priced only if investors are uncertainty averse; further, the earnings announcement return is negatively correlated to future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848502
This paper investigates market-level and private investor trading patterns and performance around earnings announcements. We document clear evidence for abnormal trading around earnings announcements for both the entire market and households in Germany and observe that private investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114290