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Yes, but only at short lags. In this paper we investigate the relationship between factor momentum and stock momentum. Using a sample of 72 factors documented in the literature, we first replicate earlier findings that factor momentum exists and works both directionally and cross-sectionally. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823617
Machine learning techniques have gained enormously in popularity in recent years, but so far only to a very limited extent in fixed income research. In this paper we therefore like to do some pioneering work and apply Boosted Regression Trees to Equity Momentum in the corporate bond market. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826311
Since momentum arbitrage activity, buying winners and selling losers, effectively enlarges the return spread between these two groups, I find that the momentum spread (the difference of the formation-period recent 6-month returns between winners and losers) negatively predicts future momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870782
We develop a continuous-time asset price model to capture short-run momentum and long-run reversal. By studying a dynamic asset allocation problem, we derive the optimal investment strategy in closed form and show that the combined momentum and reversal strategies are optimal. We then estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006175
Recent studies have shown that the Sharpe ratio and alpha for the momentum strategy can be increased, by scaling the momentum strategy, by the inverse of its historical volatility. However, we find that the higher Sharpe ratio and the alphas of the volatility scaled momentum strategy, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853066
High momentum returns cannot be explained by risk factors, but they are negatively skewed and subject to occasional severe crashes. I explore the timing of momentum crashes and show that momentum strategies tend to crash in 1-3 months after the local stock market plunge. Next, I propose a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854460
We show that stock prices underreact when there is a political event, reflected in higher momentum returns. We conjecture that political news crowds out stock news cause investors to distract, trade more indexes and underreact to firm specific news. We analyze momentum returns following general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862184
We demonstrate the estimation biases that arise when stock returns from 12 month prior and 2 month prior are included within intermediate and recent past momentum profits. These biases lead to an overestimation of intermediate past momentum but an underestimation of recent past momentum in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044865
In discussions and critiques on the validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, there are two important research focuses: statistical analyses showing that the basic assumption of statistical independence in price series is violated and empirical findings that show that significant market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928032
Risk-adjusted momentum returns are usually estimated by constructing momentum portfolios and then running a full-sample regression of their returns on a set of factors (portfolio-level risk adjustment). This approach implicitly assumes constant factor exposure of the momentum portfolio. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249431