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We provide empirical evidence that the returns on US equity momentum exhibit a time-varying skewness which deepens during dramatic losses (crashes). As a result, the dynamics of the strategy expected returns reflects the time variation in both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
Stock momentum, long-term reversal, and other past return characteristics that predict future returns also predict future realized betas, suggesting these characteristics capture time-varying risk compensation. We formalize this argument with a conditional factor pricing model. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832984
The presence of time series momentum effect has been widely documented in the financial markets across asset classes and countries. We find a predictable pattern of the realized semi-variance to the future individual asset return, especially during the stressed states of time series momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836027
Purpose - This research study aims to design a novel risk-managed time-series momentum approach. The present study also examines the time-series momentum effect in the Indian equity market. Apart from this, the study also proposes a novel risk-managed time-series momentum approach....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339133
We examine the effectiveness of applying a trend following methodology to global asset allocation between equities, bonds, commodities and real estate. The application of trend following offers a substantial improvement in risk-adjusted performance compared to traditional buy-and-hold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081969
In this note we revisit the 2011 and 2013 papers of Blitz, Huij, and Martens (BHM2011), and Blitz, Huij, Lansdorp, and Verbeek (BHLV2013) in which momentum and reversal strategies on residual returns are proposed. Our results indicate that the main findings of these studies, that residual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961484
To capture the well documented time series momentum and reversal in asset price, we develop a continuous-time asset price model, derive the optimal investment strategy theoretically, and test the strategy empirically. We show that, by combining market fundamentals and timing opportunity with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962880
This paper investigates whether short-term momentum and long-term reversal may emerge from the wealth reallocation process taking place in speculative markets. We assume that there are two classes of investors who trade long-lived assets by holding constantly rebalanced portfolios based on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927582
We consider a variety of highly-diversified cross-sectional momentum and reversal strategies, with sorting and holding periods from 1 week up to 2 years. In a sample of 2,000 biggest cryptocurrencies during 2014-2020, we identify a positive momentum on short horizons up to 2-4 weeks and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014265388
The growing adoption of factor investing simultaneously prompted the active topic of factor timing approaches for the dynamic allocation of multi-factor portfolios. The trend represents a natural development of filling the gap between passive and active management. The paper addresses this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866947