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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349294
, Malaysia). Among countries with inflation below target, in those with trend inflation low but constant (Australia, New Zealand …Trend inflation estimates for 12 of the largest Asian economies over 1995-2018 offer important insights on inflation … dynamics and inflation expectations. The disinflationary shocks that hit the region since 2014 were partly transitory, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132591
mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305860
This paper examines the interaction of core inflation and inflation targeting as a monetary policy regime. Interest in … core inflation has grown because of inflation targeting. Core inflation is defined in numerous ways giving rise to many … potential measures; this paper defines core inflation as the best forecaster of inflation. A cross-country study finds before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063199
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … asymmetric information, where the public has to learn about the actual inflation target from the Fed's interest rate policy. To …-term inflation expectations of professionals with the perceived inflation target. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
This paper studies the Great Inflation in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Newspaper coverage and policymakers … delegated inflation control to nonmonetary devices. This hypothesis helps explain why, unlike Canada, Australia and New Zealand …' statements are used to analyze the views on the inflation process that led to the 1970s macroeconomic policies, and the different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063549
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity are analyzed within a class of extended Phillips … models that describe changing patterns in low and high frequencies and backward as well as forward inflation expectation … frequencies are carefully modeled. Modeling inflation expectations using survey data and adding level shifts and stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088790
A knowledge of the level of trend inflation is key to many current policy decisions, and several methods of estimating … trend inflation exist. This paper adds to the growing literature which uses survey-based long-run forecasts of inflation to … estimate trend inflation. We develop a bivariate model of inflation and long-run forecasts of inflation which allows for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013307
In this paper we investigate whether the forecast of the HICP components (indirect approach) improves upon the forecast of overall HICP (direct approach) and whether the aggregation of country forecasts improves upon the forecast of the euro-area as a whole, considering the four largest euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319325
This paper incorporates market-based inflation expectations to the growing literature on trendinflation estimation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912506