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This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in Mexico using different methodologies. First, we estimate Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR). Subsequently, we estimate Autoregressive Distributed Lags Models (ARDL) in order to make a long run analysis. In particular, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166342
Indonesia and Thailand, two major open economies in Southeast Asia operating under managed-float exchange rate systems …. This paper investigates the transmission of external shocks to these economies via their impact on inflation and inflation … volatility. The empirical results suggest that in both Indonesia and Thailand, inflation and inflation volatility are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863142
We develop an empirical model to study the influence of global factors in driving trend inflation and the inflation gap … factors can have a sizeable influence on the inflation gap, they play only a marginal role in driving trend inflation. Much of … the influence of global factors in the inflation gap may be reflecting commodity price shocks. Finally, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864329
This paper surveys and examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in Turkey. Using a dynamic open … indicate that inflation is driven by monetary and real demand disturbances while output is mainly driven by aggregate supply … disturbances. The historical decomposition shows that a substantial portion of inflation is aggregate demand-driven core inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014127433
This paper explores the relationship between devaluing the dollar and inflation, examining both the theoretical … inflation by reducing demand or increasing the supply of goods and services, others suggest that devaluation can actually lead … to an increase in inflation by making imports more expensive and increasing demand for domestically produced goods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358356
Responsiveness of exchange rates to external price shocks as well as their ability to serve as a traditional vehicle for a transmission of these shocks to domestic prices is affected by exchange rate arrangement adopted by monetary authorities. As a result, exchange rate volatility determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744600
Responsiveness of exchange rates to external price shocks as well as their ability to serve as a traditional vehicle for a transmission of these shocks to domestic prices is affected by exchange rate arrangement adopted by monetary authorities. As a result, exchange rate volatility determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747392
Responsiveness of exchange rates to external price shocks as well as their ability to serve as a traditional vehicle for a transmission of these shocks to domestic prices is affected by exchange rate arrangement adopted by monetary authorities. As a result, exchange rate volatility determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110778
We assess the efficiency of monetary policy to guide inflation expectations in high and low regimes. Using quantile … regression we analyze the persistence of inflation expectations from the Consensus Economics Survey at different quantiles. We … Fed's unconventional monetary policy at the ZLB in thus ineffective in guiding inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011574818
shocks pertaining to more versus less informed individuals. We then investigate how these affect inflation expectations of … individuals are well informed can have different impact on inflation expectations as compared to shocks obtained based on the … assumption that they are not as informed. Moreover, monetary policy can have different effects on inflation expectations for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989712