below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …

By providing numerical inflation projections. Many central banks currently face inflation well above their targets and … with that the challenge to prevent spillovers on inflation expectations. We study the effect of different communication … about the 2021 inflation surge on German consumers' inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that …

Although there is a vast literature on GDP comovement across countries, there is scant evidence on inflation … interdependence. We analyze inflation comovements across a wide set of advanced economies and across the subset of euro area countries …. Some of our findings are expected, such as the fact that inflation interdependence among advanced economies is quite …

Acting in parallel with changes in Thailand's inflation dynamics, the fall in inflation and inflation variability is a … important role in changing the dynamics of inflation in Thailand. It also shows that the country's monetary policy has been … effective in helping to keep inflation low and stable via well anchored long-run inflation expectations.Full Publication: 'http …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …

We develop a model that can explain the evolution of trend inflation in the United States in the three decades before … inflation arises endogenously and has these determinants: the strength with which the central bank responds to inflation, the … degree of uncertainty about monetary policy perceived by the private sector, and, if it exists, the inflation target. Given …

Since 2013 the inflation rate in the euro area has fallen steadily, reaching all-time lows at the end of 2014. Market …-based measures of inflation expectations (such as inflation swaps) have also declined to extremely low levels, which suggests … increasing concern about the credibility of the ECB in maintaining price stability. Inflation releases have often surprised …

We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …

Well anchored inflation expectations are considered to be a reflection of credible monetary policy. In the past …, anchoring has been assessed using either long-run inflation surveys or break-even inflation rates on financial assets with long … maturities. But neither of these is ideal. Here we propose an alternative measure of inflation anchoring that makes full use of …