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Prior studies use fundamental earnings forecasts to proxy for the market's expectations of earnings because analyst forecasts are biased and are available for only a subset of firms. We find that as a proxy for market expectations, fundamental forecasts contain systematic measurement errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904816
We posit and find that the importance of analyst and forecast characteristics for analyst forecast accuracy varies with analysts' access to management's private information and with the precision of publicly available information. In particular, more experienced analysts and All-Star analysts do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093591
In this study, we examine the effect of accrual-based earnings management on the association between managers' earnings forecast errors and accruals, which we label “managers' accrual-related forecast bias.” We build on extensive research which finds that managers engage in accrual-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955306
We examine the effect of media competition on analyst forecast properties in an international setting using 113,436 firm-year observations from 32 countries spanning 2000 through 2012. We find that firms in countries with stronger media competition enjoy more accurate, less optimistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904734
We posit and find an effect of disclosure and analyst reporting regulations implemented from 2000 through 2003 (including Regulation Fair Disclosure, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, and the Global Settlement Act) on the importance of analyst and forecast characteristics for analyst forecast accuracy....
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We provide evidence that some managers delay the revelation of bad news using a coordinated strategy involving reported accruals and earnings forecasts. Specifically, we observe a correlated bias in contemporaneous accruals and management forecasts when both indicate higher, but not lower,...
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