Catao, Luis A. V.; Fostel, Ana; Kapur, Sandeep - Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics - 2008
We show how vicious circles in countries’ credit histories arise in a model where output persistence is coupled with asymmetric information between borrowers and lenders about the nature of output shocks. In such an environment, default creates a pessimistic outlook about the borrower’s...