Showing 71 - 80 of 788,324
Im Zentrum dieser Dissertation steht das Beschreiben und Erklären von Konjunkturdynamiken. Motiviert durch den außerordentlich starken wirtschaftlichen Einbruch in 2008/2009 betont die Arbeit dabei die Wichtigkeit der Nutzung von nichtlinearen Modellansätzen. Die Dissertation kann als Beitrag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154125
This paper uses the Markov switching approach to account for instabilities in the long-run money demand function and compute the welfare cost of inflation in the United States. In doing so, it circumvents the problem of data-mining of some earlier seminal contributions on these issues, allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863072
, observational data computations, and Monte Carlo simulations to assess the use of various estimation methodologies, including … standard dynamic panel regression and cointegration techniques that have been used in earlier research. The findings reveal … massive bias in system GMM estimation of the dynamic panel regression parameters, which arise from fixed effect heterogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265695
cointegration between the different measures and taking their monthly release calendar seriously. We also combine all existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336360
The research work presented below addresses the possible concern of central bank independence through the development and application of econometric models. The complexity of the modelling has allowed a step further in corroborating that financial independence is not only linked to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496228
In this article we estimate a time-varying " natural " rate of interest (TVNRI) for a synthetic euro area over the period 1979Q1-2002Q4 using a small backward-looking macroeconomic model, broadly following a methodology developed by Laubach and Williams (2003) for the United States. The Kalman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136219
Since the Great Recession, the main evolution in monetary policy has been its attempts to affect the medium and the long-term interest rates with instruments other than the policy rate. Consequently, measuring the stance of monetary policy by a single interest rate becomes problematic. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842812
In practice, the expectations theory of the term structure is employed extensively in monetary policy analysis despite … its empirical failure. This paper performs a conditional test of the theory that is directly relevant to monetary theory … and policy. It finds that the theory holds quite well conditional on identified monetary policy shocks, but fails …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778440
We investigate the time varying dynamics of the linkages between sovereign and bank default risks over the period 2006-2015, using the credit default swap (CDS) spreads of the bonds of major international banks and of sovereign issuers as indicators of risk within four major European countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988476
We assess the macroeconomic impact of pandemic-related monetary policy measures of the ECB. Conditioning on counterfactual interest rate paths that would have materialised in the absence of the policies, the macroeconomic effects are measured using structural vector autoregressions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622376