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The expectational effects of news in business cycles : evidence from forecast data

Miyamoto, Wataru; Nguyen, Thuy Lan - In: Journal of monetary economics 116 (2020), pp. 184-200

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495170

Improving GDP Measurement : A Forecast Combination Perspective

Aruoba, S. Boragan - 2011

widely-used income-side version GDPI . We propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. We then …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461237

Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting

2021

bring forecast gains when included in forecasting models and can also inform scenario and risk analysis in projection …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626673

On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts : a comparison with five categories of field expectations

Cornand, Camille; Hubert, Paul - In: Journal of economic dynamics & control 110 (2020), pp. 1-32

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501310

The role of stickiness, extrapolation and past consensus forecasts in macroeconomic expectations

Hagenhoff, Tim; Lustenhouwer, Joep - 2020

lagged consensus forecast about the period being forecast. We find that all three biases are present in the Survey of … forecast to form expectations is a reasonable thing to do if a forecaster is not able to come up with fully rational …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309179

Consumers' approach to the credibility of the inflation forecasts published by central banks : a new methodological solution

Tura-Gawron, Karolina - In: Journal of macroeconomics 62 (2019), pp. 1-26

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243463

Inattentive agents and inflation forecast error dynamics : a Bayesian DSGE approach

Kim, Insu; Kim, Young Se - In: Journal of macroeconomics 62 (2019), pp. 1-17

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243474

The pass-through from short-horizon to long-horizon inflation expectations

Yetman, James - In: Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, (pp. 55-66). 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250096

Forecasting the South African inflation rate : on asymmetric loss and forecast rationality

Pierdzioch, Christian; Reid, Monique B.; Gupta, Rangan - In: Economic systems 40 (2016) 1, pp. 82-92

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011668227

Do inflation expectations matter for inflation forecastability : evidence from Pakistan

Hussain, Fayyaz; Hayat, Zafar - In: The Pakistan development review : PDR 55 (2016) 3, pp. 211-225

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011670046

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