Surveys on density forecasts of macroeconomic variables that do not available until recently provide one additional moment restriction, uncertainty, for testing and exploring the implications of various theories on expectation formation. This paper first documents the persistent dispersion in...

Many courses in financial economics cover the estimation of forward rates implied in Treasury spot rates. A less well-known extension of this discussion shows how yields on TIPS and similar-maturity conventional Treasury securities may be used to extract the market's inflation expectation. We...