Recent literature shows that momentum strategies exhibit significant downside risks over certain periods, or called "momentum crashes." We find that the high uncertainty of momentum strategies is sourced from the cross-sectional volatility of individual stocks. Stocks with high realised...

This paper challenges the prevailing view that investor sentiment is a contrarian predictor of market returns at nearly all horizons. As an important piece of "out-of-sample" evidence, we document that investor sentiment in China is a reliable momentum signal at monthly frequency. The strong...

To capture the well documented time series momentum and reversal in asset price, we develop a continuous-time asset price model, derive the optimal investment strategy theoretically, and test the strategy empirically. We show that, by combining market fundamentals and timing opportunity with...

This study conducts price discovery analysis in the Chinese gold market. Our results indicate that Chinese gold market price discovery occurs predominantly in the futures market. The result is robust to numerous different measures of price discovery, namely information share, component share,...

Studies on financial markets have accumulated consistent evidences of stylized facts and anomalies, which can be characterized by stochastic switching among different co-existing market states but yet difficult to reconcile with traditionally rational expectation theory. When agents are...

This paper is a contribution to the literature on the explanatory power and calibration of heterogeneous asset pricing models. We set out a new stochastic market-fraction asset pricing model of fundamentalists and trend followers under a market maker. Our model explains key features of financial...

Long-range dependence in volatility is one of the most prominent examples in financial market research involving universal power laws. Its characterization has recently spurred attempts to provide some explanations of the underlying mechanism. This paper contributes to this recent line of...

We develop a continuous-time asset price model to capture short-run momentum and long-run reversal. By studying a dynamic asset allocation problem, we derive the optimal investment strategy in closed form and show that the combined momentum and reversal strategies are optimal. We then estimate...

This paper documents a highly downward sloping security market line (SML) in China, which is more puzzling than the typical “flattened” SML in the US, and does not reconcile with existing theories of low-beta anomaly. We show that investor overconfidence offers some promises in resolving the...

We compare the performance of two volatility scaling methods in momentum strategies: (i) the constant volatility scaling approach of Barroso and Santa-Clara (2015), and (ii) the dynamic volatility scaling method of Daniel and Moskowitz (2016). We perform momentum strategies based on these two...