Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...

This paper studies the dynamic behaviour of both linear and non-linearity of consumer prices in Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah from 2004 to 2015. For linear tests, monthly prices data of consumer price index (CPI) for nine groups of goods and services were analysed using the unit root tests and...

Assessing the state of the economy in real time is critical for policy-making, and understanding the risks to those assessments is equally important. Policy-makers are typically provided with point forecasts that contain insufficient information about risks. In contrast, predictive densities...

Establishing the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts is essential if laboratory experiments are to be used as decision-making tools for monetary policy. Our contribution is to document whether different measures of inflation expectations, based on various categories of agents...

Campbell & Shiller's [1988] Cyclically-Adjusted Price to Earnings ratio (CAPE) has both its advocates and critics. Currently, the debate is on the validity of the high CAPE ratio for US stock markets in forecasting lower future returns, with CAPE currently at 31.21. We investigate the efficacy...

This paper presents applications of our theory to description of particular economic problems. We give all definitions and equations in Part I and II of our work. Here we argue propagation of small perturbations of economic variables and transactions on economic space. We show that small...

This paper presents further development of our economic model (see Part I). We describe economic and financial transactions between agents as factors that define evolution of economic variables. We show that change of risk ratings of agents as their coordinates on economic space due to their...

The reluctance of a significant number of individuals in the current COVID-19 pandemic to adhere to social distancing measures - and even to get vaccinated - seems to be one of the major obstacles for the long-term success of public health policies around the world. Against this background we...

Business cycles have historically been an important topic for behaviorally orientedeconomists. The concept of an economic and financial cycle based on interlocking mechanismsleading from the recession to the boom was developed in the 18th and 19th century. The earlybehavioral economics of the...

The dynamic response of prices and mark-ups to economic shocks play a crucial role in macroeconomics. We explore the role that market concentration plays in determining the responsiveness to different shocks. Using a model of oligopolistic competition we show that the sensitivity of prices and...