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We find that aggregate net equity fund flows are strongly negatively correlated with changes in expected future stock market volatility as measured by the VIX. Implying that investor purchase decisions are primarily driven by returns and sale decisions by risk perceptions, we further find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128717
Using stocks traded on the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ for the period of 1964 to 2009, this study demonstrates that, while momentum prevails among small stocks, momentum and reversals coexist among large stocks for a holding period of up to six months. The momentum/reversal divide is along the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108409
The local bias puzzle was originally proposed from the analysis of investors' investment portfolios. We test and confirm the hypothesis that local bias has already existed in investor attention subconsciously regardless of their investment. In contrast to literature which focuses on investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091078
We test the implications of anchoring bias associated with forecast earnings per share (FEPS) for forecast errors, earnings surprises, stock returns, and stock splits. We find that analysts make optimistic (pessimistic) forecasts when a firm's FEPS is lower (higher) than the industry median....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092369
This paper examines the reaction of investors to the arrival of unexpected information on the Istanbul Stock Exchange. The empirical results suggest that the investor reaction following unexpected news on the ISE100 is consistent with Overreaction Hypothesis especially after unfavorable market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076503
Using a large database of Japanese analysts' rating information over the period 2000-2010, we examine short term market reactions to the announcement. We find a significant market reaction to the information contained in the analysts' rating. Particularly, the market reacts sensitively to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080925
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152104
By means of Event Study, Panel Data Regression and Feasible Generalized Least Squares, we discuss the influence of uncertainty of information on the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift. We find that there are not significant differences between the H-share financial statements and the A-share...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139665
This study shows that (1) Australian analysts are optimistic in their forecasts and underreact to new information, (2) the continuous disclosure (CD) regime has a negative impact on forecast optimism and dispersion, (3) analyst forecast bias is associated with certain firm characteristics, (4)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145311
We document a robust positive relationship between the belief dispersion about macroeconomic conditions among household investors and the stock market trading volume, using more than 30 years of household survey data and a novel approach to measuring belief dispersions. Notably, such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053896