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of past experience and international best practices. It confirms that food inflation has been the driver of domestic … inflation. The paper studies the recommendations of the Urjit Patel Committee and comments that monetary policies predominantly … focussed on inflation targeting may not necessarily be effective in India where inflation and inflationary expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404663
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835734
The relationship central to most inflation models, between slack and inflation, seems to have weakened. Do we need a …-cycle decomposition - to show that inflation models should more explicitly and comprehensively control for changes in the global economy … rates, and producer price competition can all significantly affect inflation, even after controlling for the standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866657
In this paper, we analyse the sources of time variation in consumer inflation across ten Central and Eastern European … multi-level factor model we decompose product-level HICP inflation rates into the following components: CEE region wide … inflation are more persistent than sector and product-level components, which is in line with similar studies for core EU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987304
From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650860
From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210844
becomes nonlinear when inflation is “low”—which our baseline model defines as less than 3 percent. The nonlinear curve is … further increases in economic slack have little effect on inflation. This finding is consistent with evidence of downward … nominal wage and price rigidity. When inflation is high, the Phillips curve is linear and relatively steep. These results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211362
While two strands of the literature suggest that PPI inflation, in addition to or instead of CPI inflation, should be a … temporary, the standard monetary policy rule that does not target the PPI inflation may have become increasingly problematic. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807707
This paper models inflation by combining the multi-country framework of one of its authors (Forbes) with the nonlinear … nonlinear when inflation is low, in which case excess economic slack has little effect on inflation. This finding is consistent … meaningful Phillips curve relationship between slack and inflation when slack is negative (i.e., when output is above long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225166
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper …, is an important channel through which global economic slack influences domestic inflation. In particular, we document the … inflation rates, both across countries and over time. Accounting for the role of GVCs, we also find that the conventional trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619539