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. Afterwards I use target prices to measure forecast bias and the growth in Earnings Per Share as signals, and regress analysts …' forecast bias over different deciles of favorable signals interacted with prior negative forecast bias in a dynamic panel data …I empirically study how confirmatory bias works for strong and contradictory signals using data on sell-side analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221219
We examine article, author and firm characteristics of investment articles published by non-professional analysts on the social media investment platform Seeking Alpha from 2006 to 2020 leading to visible market value changes. We show that there are differences between articles followed by stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290160
affecting firms under coverage. We find that temporarily distracted analysts achieve lower forecast accuracy, revise forecasts … less frequently, and publish less informative forecast revisions relative to non-distracted analysts. Further, at the firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828956
This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502444
analysts’ forecast accuracy. We study whether analysts strategically manage decision fatigue. Firms within an analyst … lower, and the tendency to do so is further enhanced if the firm is also more difficult/complex to forecast. Analysts with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404486
an optimistic bias in their valuations, and tend to react with a delay to stock movements. The different measures of … uncertainty, financial stress and volatility affect their estimations a) fostering the optimistic bias, b) reducing the speed and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307999
for (and against) each putative bias, and I highlight when and how different biases may be related to each other. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907277
, a bias in investor behavior that has received considerable attention in recent work, is transmitted from individual fund … managers to the team-managed funds they join. We show that teams heavily attenuate the influence of extrapolation bias on funds … biases. Our results highlight the attenuation of the extrapolation bias as a potential benefit of team-based asset management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247070
We first provide evidence of some retail investors taking real trading (selling) decisions which are clearly sub-optimal even from an ex-ante perspective. We then show that these investors also exhibit stronger investment biases, namely, the disposition effect, underdiversification, preference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120317
We analyze a setting in which an actor learns about and then chooses one item from a set of N ex ante identical options. Under fairly general conditions, a large amount of effort is expended learning about one arbitrarily chosen option, less on another, etc. Unequal efforts cause unequal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848852