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the derivation of a unique variance risk premium and price of volatility risk based only on the underlying return and … volatility risk prices yield in option values in comparison to prices extracted from observed option market data. We also present … volatility dynamics for a wide class of stochastic volatility (SV) models. The SD approach also derives under similar conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309461
This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900597
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002569872
The fair value of an option is given by breakeven volatility, the value of implied volatility that sets the profit and … loss of a delta-hedged option to zero. We calculate breakeven volatility for 400,000 options traded on the S&P 500 Index …, and we build a predictive model for these volatility values. A two-stage regression approach captures the majority of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324361
. Using option-implied correlation does not improve any of the metrics. Using option-implied volatility, risk-premium, and …Our objective in this paper is to examine whether one can use option-implied information to improve the selection of … mean-variance portfolios with a large number of stocks, and to document which aspects of option-implied information are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116788
's risk neutral probability density (RND) over the underlying price at expiration. The RND contains investors' beliefs about … the true probabilities blended with their risk preferences, both of which are of great interest to academics and … distill true expectations and risk premia from observed RNDs. I touch on areas of active current research including the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928063
portfolio. The results reveal that market default risk is positively (negatively) related to the index risk-neutral volatility …This paper examines the time series economic determinants of Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index option-implied risk … computed by aggregating daily default risk measures for all individual, non-financial firms included in the S&P 500 Index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095827
developed which completely characterizes all risk arbitrage opportunities which arise if a well-behaved pricing kernel does not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899380
Measures of model risk based on the residual error from hedging in a misspecified model were recently proposed in … model risk for the original market. If the market can not be completed, as it is the case in most market models that allow … for jumps, we derive measures that are applicable in a more general setup. In a case study we measure the model risk that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058199
market prices of risk of hedging assets, a robust approach leads to a reduction or even elimination of a speculative … component in good-deal hedging, which is shown to be equivalent to a global risk-minimization in the sense of Föllmer and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972303