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The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related to future option returns. We rank firms based … on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for straddle portfolios. Straddle portfolios with … high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform straddle portfolios with low slopes by an economically and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008475
This paper improves continuous-time variance swap approximation formulas to derive exact returns on benchmark VIX option portfolios. The new methodology preserves the variance swap interpretation that decomposes returns into realized variance and option implied-variance.We apply this new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249009
actively traded VIX options. Under the model, the evolution of future VIX is completely determined by the volatility function … of forward VIX squared normalized by VIX futures prices. A general volatility function with one- to three-factor models … general volatility function that incorporates mean-reversion and hump effects to test two multifactor models, (iii) finding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148021
asset price evolves with on jumps. The difficulty in deriving implied information from fractional Brownian market is due to … the fact that both Hurst exponent and volatility are unobservable. So they can be derived as a whole from single … different maturities is suggested to solve this problem. We also make a comparison between volatility in classical Brownian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060347
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro …-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB … without precisely describing what exactly they entail does not move asset markets or actually increases crash risk. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
. This approach shows that VIX derivatives carry different information about future variance than S&P 500 (SPX) options … illiquidity, market illiquidity, and asymmetric information. When they are segmented, VIX derivatives contribute more to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182042
stochastic mean-level processes to their model and by taking additional information on the future behavior of these mean …-level processes into account. The available anticipative information is modeled by an initially enlarged filtration in our paper. We … further derive pricing formulas for electricity forwards under future information and investigate the associated information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848664
that are caused by incorrect dividend information and other issues related to dividends. The implied volatilities of stock … 16:00) generally increases the variability of implied volatility spreads between puts and calls. In addition, it results … in considerable distortions at the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and strongly affects aggregate implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296293
) index call and put options with different volatility forecasting approaches. Since the volatility is the key parameter in … pricing options, GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity), implied volatility, historical volatility …, and implied volatility index (VBI) are used to determine the best volatility approach for pricing options according to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334825
The research in this paper is focused on the innovative range-based volatility models introduced in Alizadeh, Brandt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255655